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Friday, December 28, 2007
Posted by: Kevin McCullough at 11:25 AM


"Deflating?"

Even though I've pasted the disclaimer across my laptop's monitor: "Any reading of Hugh's pages must be taken with nearly a full bag of salt," I'm still curiouser and curiouser as to how he arrives at conclusions like:

The deflation of the Huckabee campaign frees up voters to go to either Romney, Thompson or McCain though any evangelical leaving Huckabee is unlikely to look past Senator McCain's opposition to a federal Marriage Amendment or the Gang of 14. Romney and Thompson are both pushing conservative agendas, but the momentum is with the former governor as the home stretch opens in Iowa.

Certainly Hugh's pronouncement of Huck's demise following the New York Times issue that never was - has had ZERO impact on his numbers. But it seems to me that every single day Hugh is predicting more and more things - that don't come true.

With ALL the hits that Hugh has levied at Huck in the last half of the last month alone - did it move the needle even a tiny fraction?

Not nationally according to Rasmussen, who is the MOST TRUSTWORTHY pollster out there, yesterday he showed Huck's support ticking UP. And not according to the multiple pollsters that are working Iowa - one of which has Huck at 36%, and an average of all the polls - including Rasmussen's most recent has Huck up by an AVERAGE of 3%.

FULL DISCLOSURE: I do not work for the Huckabee campaign, I have no shot of being picked as Press Secretary for any of the candidates, and was not commissioned to write any of the candidate's books. And while I enjoy a fine relationship with all of the campaigns (with perhaps the exception of Ron Paul), I am not endorsing ANY of them in the GOP primary race 2008.



View in ascending order View in descending order
Ryan01 writes: Friday, December, 28, 2007 11:34 AM
No.
"With ALL the hits that Hugh has levied at Huck in the last half of the last month alone - did it move the needle even a tiny fraction?"

This simply shows that few people pay attention to Neocon talk radio or these blogs anymore. It isn't 1994 when talk radio did have some influence. I suspect a lot of people have become jaded over the lies and disinformation that have come out of these mediums for they have become echo chambers for the RNC more than anything else.
_SeekerOfTruth_ writes: Friday, December, 28, 2007 12:17 PM
Hillary Has the Old Media to twist the
truth, Romney has Hugh. The country has hope only in Ron Paul.
soulsamurai writes: Friday, December, 28, 2007 12:40 PM
Yeah, it's helped McCain a bit
Meanwhile, America is yearning for real leadership:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-b2nNwj_gzw


Spidey writes: Friday, December, 28, 2007 12:54 PM
Agree with Ryan to some extent
but it's not so much people don't pay that much attention to talk radio anymore but most of them have tried to stay neutral in the race and let people make up thier own minds. What i have been saying for weeks is Huck's numbers have stayed up because the MSM has kept him propped up. All the things Hugh and others are saying aren't being picked up by the MSM. They report them but they don't add editorial commnet to them to show it in a negative way. Like his fumbling with the map on Morning Joe today,they basically laughed it off. If Romney had any of the gaffes Huck has had they would be all over it.No Romney gaffe goes unpunished.

Plus you have to give Huck some credit for his personal appearances. His personal charm is winning people over.So a lot of this comes down to how strict a conservative people are and how they project Huck in the general. The left wing blogs etc are having a ball about Huck's antics and they will all come to light if he got the nom. The media is biting their tongue right now but they would launch on Huck in the general overnight.

A perfect example of Huck's smoothness and conning capabilities was to say he's going to make history in Iowa next week. First what would be historic about it? Someone has won it before.Then he says it would still be historic if he finished second or third.huh?

I also said weeks ago that Huck has the advantage of being a southern Christian and that fits the republican paradigm voter especially with the RR.

If Huck was winning on the issues,I'd be the first one to shake his hand but we're not playing on a level playing field here with the divergence of coverage. I wonder if anybody can tell you any position Huck has on the issues.
one hot minute writes: Friday, December, 28, 2007 1:56 PM
McCullough suffers from HHDS

Hugh wasn't "commissioned to write (Romney's) book."
He chose to write a book called "A Mormon in the White House ?"
It wasn't Romney's book---it was Hugh's book about Romney.

Then again, you suffer from Hugh Hewitt Derangement Syndrome.
Jsmith writes: Friday, December, 28, 2007 2:24 PM
KMC
keep on truckin, bro. Don't worry about losers like HH or his apologists like one hot minute or HNAV. For them, Hugh can do no wrong. But then again, nobody claimed these are intelligent folks.
rhys writes: Sunday, December, 30, 2007 2:28 PM
I finally agree with you
Hewitt is too biased for anyone to take his predictions serious. Okay. The man is in favor of Romney. That drives him to make failed prediction after failed prediction. But Hewitt is right about one thing. Huckabee is going nowhere. Huck is a media/poll creation. He has no money, no doners, no organization. He will do his part in IA then fall from memory like Pat Robertson. Romney, on the other hand, is definitely the front runner. He has money, organization, slick back-peddling rhetoric, and nice hair.

Giuliana is running off name recognition, with no real grassroots support, and won't be a serious threat after the first 5 primarys, which all happen before Feb 5.

Paul is the strongest dark horse. Nobody knows his actual level of support, and nobody has been able to increasing their doners and money through the whole primary season like him. Paul's support is reflected in his fundraising and mirrored in his doner numbers.

Paul's campaign raised:
$600,000 in the first quarter
$2,400,000 in the second quarter
$5,200,000 in the third quarter
$20,000,000? in the fourth quater

And this is not from big doners, but from what seems like over 70,000 individual doners, more than double any other candidate. The question - how many of Paul's doners will show up at the polls?
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