Friday, December 14, 2007
Posted by:
Kevin McCullough
at
1:50 PM
Iowa, Michigan, South Carolina, Florida
...NATIONALLY...
All of these numbers are impressive given what Huck has actually spent. Matt Lewis is attempting to out Huck everyone here on TownHall and he points to the naming of Ed Rollins to Huck's team. He also highlights the Jim Pinkerton piece that I failed to mention.
And he surmizes that the more liberals bash Huck the better he does... Which I could not agree more with.
That is also fundamentally the problem with a Rudy general election. No daylight between a Rudy vs. Hillary race. With Mitt or Huck you get enough daylight to ram a Mack truck through - and the MOST IMPORTANT THING THE GOP needs in its general election candidate is...?
CONTRAST!
This is starting to turn into a Romney Huck battle.
Romney and Huckabee are running 1st and 2nd in IA, SC and FL in current polls. Romney is running 1st in NH.
Romney may be picking up some support from Rudy as Rudy seems to be fading in the early primary states. It will take a while for this to shake out as Fred still has a lot of support in the South. How Fred runs in IA will make a big difference. The other big question is where do the Fred people go if he falters.
If Rudy fades and his votes go to Romney instead of McCain that makes life very interesting.
The race is very fluid. How much anyone has spent is irrelevant. Huck played the religion card because he had to. Romney leveraged his money. It has worked for both of them.
Huck has a ceiling because he positioned as the reincarnation of Pat Robertson. Romney's speech is helping him with the middle of the Party. I am not sure what happens if McCain gets knocked out in NH. His vote could split in 3 or 4 ways or could put new life into Rudy.
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I guess now the Giuliani supporters will have to start saying that a vote for Huckabee is a vote for Romney! |
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Are showing Mitt on the rise. Florida is very surprising. Mit''s up to 33% in NH.15 points ahead of the next contender. The other thing I'm seeing small signs are that Thompson is coing back a little bit and may split the Huck vote with Mitt's numbers remaining stable.It all comes down to the ground game in Iowas right now. It's widely accepted Mitt has a great ground game and orgaization there. Huck has neither in a conventional sense but the evangelical caucus goers are experienced and will turn out. There's lots of Huck hit peices emerging as time goes on with nothing damaging to Mitt happening right now. I see Bill Weld has written a nice endorsement for Mitt today.Rudi's fading in Fl. which is good news and may calm dow the evangelicals fears he'll get the nom from the big states. |
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Pinkerton's opinions and now I know why.He's been in the tank for Huck lately and that doesn't seem like something he'd do. |
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Fred's numbers beginning to tick up too!
I think it had to do with the fact that the old Fred that we saw prior to his candidacy re-emerged into the fore of the debate the other day.
Leaving a lot of us saying, "Where the heck has THAT GUY been all this time?" |
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