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Thursday, April 05, 2007
Posted by: Kevin McCullough at 8:23 AM

As I predicted yesterday, Obama easily beat Clinton in primary funds.

The fact that the Hillary camp is still shuffling the cards back at Headquarters is to be expected. With two Clintons and a McCaulliffe in the room with the "who gave what when" counting going on, you can bet that every piece of cash that can be mixed up between the primaries and the general election - WILL be. Thus probably how she got to the 20 million figure, when sources had been saying from within the camp - closer to 18 million.

Nevertheless... Obama beat Clinton on a much bigger point which goes like this. If Clinton's average gift per donor was somewhere in the $500 range (and its thought within the Clinton camp that this is a reasonable estimate) on her 50,000 donors - she only has the potential to raise $1800 more per person, giving her a total potential of $90 million off her current donors.

Because Obama's average gift was closer to $110 he can still get another $2190 per person, and his total could reach $219 million from his 100,000 donors. 

Of course there are variances and neither of these total potentials will likely be realized. (Though who would've thought that for the first quarter from 2003 to 2007 the winning total would go from 7.4 million to 26 million?)

But the principle remains the same - by getting FAR more people involved, Obama has helped himself in many ways - that still have HUGE upsides to pay him dividends down the stretch.

No matter how McCaulliffe spins this... Obama TROUNCED Hillary in the first primary... period!



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