Friday, December 14, 2007
Posted by:
Kevin McCullough
at
1:49 PM

After a day of conversations, some lasting up to an hour and a half, some with Mormons, some with Catholics, and some with Evangelicals I have decided that I am all the more eager for the primaries to be done...
Many months ago the trek for the nomination began in the individual minds, hearts, homes, and offices of the candidates...
As an observer and fan of many aspects of each candidate and finding myself in opposition to some policies of each as well - I continue to be flummoxed at even this late date as to the certainty of which candidate I myself will be voting in favor of.
My transparency in the reflection and discussion of my own thoughts - on my own blog - has been an irritation to both supporters and opponents of Mitt Romney, Fred Thompson, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Ron Paul, and to a lesser degree Rudy Giuliani.
With Rudy I simply can not support - nor will I - a candidate who seems to believe that the act of murdering an unborn child is "wrong" but not something he could ever advise someone else against...
With McCain his recklessness on a host of issues over the past seven years had burned me out on him truly before the campaign had even had a real chance to begin.
Ron Paul is simply a man living in denial.
Fred Thompson was who I was most excited about early on - especially prior to his announcement. Something went kaput on the Leno soundstage and almost immediately Fred's energy level dropped. Simultaneously so did his poll numbers.
Mitt was my official candidate prior to Fred getting in, and became my favorite candidate again as soon as Fred began to fade.
I have written at length about the strength I believe a Romney/Duncan ticket would have in forcing Democrats to spend money in California, and the liberal Northeast - and thusly possibly provide some opportunities for Dems to not defend other territories as strongly and possibly allow some (one to four) blue states to be flipped red.
I have interviewed Romney more than any other candidate in the race. At CPAC in person last spring, multiple times by phone since, and each time he has presented a STRONG case for the coalition he seeks to build using fiscal, defense, and social conservatives. His game plan was well thought out, and it seemed putting his millions into the early states was wise.
Mike Huckabee is someone I've also had some face time with. Introducing him at CPAC last spring. Talking to him as well on my show and hearing from him directly his passion for the issues I hold most important.
At Values Voters by FRC and Focus on the Family this last fall Mike and Mitt stood head and shoulders above the crowd in terms of receptivity. Huck won the straw poll of people in attendance. Due to some very savvy internet marketing Mitt won the online straw poll. Mitt gave the best speech of the week - and it was likely his best speech to date. (For my two cents it made the "Faith in America" speech look like chopped liver.)
And then came the deranged attacks on Huckabee - simultaneous to his rise in the polls. The attacks from Drudge, Hugh Hewitt, and to a lesser degree on National Review Online were in large part the creation of the Romney camp. I don't hold this against the candidate - it is his staff's job to win. But unfair things began to be said.
For example a simple comparison of the issue of taxes under the two Governor's administrations easily showed that Huck kept taxes lower over his tenure as Governor of a needy state (where more safety nets were needed) than Mitt did in Massachusetts. The degree of difference was slight - but on the technical examination of the facts Huck did a better job in real dollars of reigning taxes in. For the Club for Growth to imply otherwise has been less than sincere. Grover Norquist has encouraged voters to look at the facts and has more or less said, "trust Huck" on his conversion.
None of that is to say that Mitt didn't do a fine job on taxes as well. After looking at both of their records I would give them solid A-'s for their grade on the tax issue.
I wrote only a day or so ago that Mitt's biggest weaknesses at present were his most rabid supporters - at least those who have a microphone. I have heard from hundreds who share that same opinion.
Mitt also has some hidden weaknesses that believe it or not no one sees right now. (And it's not the insane clown posse of Camenker, Rios, and Jackson riding the Mass Resistance horse to the rodeo.) It is actually much simpler than that...
Romney's camp leaked the "press release ratio" to Drudge to attempt to portray how the DNC will bite into Huck. But Mitt's strategy has a gaping whole in its potential exploitation as well.
When strategists looked back at Rove's gameplan for 2004 - the entire election came down to one state and one statistic in that state.
In 2004 - George W. Bush won the White House because six more African American evangelicals voted with the President on the issue of marriage out of every 100 African Americans in that state. Six out of one hundred... in Ohio... on marriage.
Mitt Romney is no racist. The LDS religion no longer embraces the racist history that it did up until my parent's generation. Mitt's father personally walked and marched with Martin Luther King Jr.
But I speak with the African American church in our nation every single day. The deep distrust of a Mormon - not on faith - but on civil rights - is already being whispered all too unfairly in these very circles. I have yet to see "African Americans for Mitt" - though by this time in the two Bush election cycles that strategy was already well conceived and being executed.
Huckabee on the other hand governed the equivalency of a welfare state with safety net programs but cut his state's deficit, left the state with a surplus, and reached out to the African American population simultaneously. And though techinically taxes increased 37% the state remained towards the bottom of the fifty states in the nation in terms of overall tax burden. But aside from all of this...
Huckabee attracted 49% of the African American vote in his state.
Looking at the 2004 map - should it again come down to Ohio, and should it again be depedent upon African American Evangelical Christians - what candidate will get what percent of them?
I am not making an endorsement in the primary race - after much examination and defense of both Mitt and Huck and to a lesser extent Fred.
I am an evangelical. My belief system theologically is nearly identical to Huck. My policy positions are closest to Mitt. Both men can be engaging, both are highly intelligent and would make for interesting debate opposites vs. Obama or Hillary.
I will support the GOP candidate coming out of the primaries as long as that candidate is not named Rudy Giuliani...opposite Hillary there is little difference in many issues - both perceived hawkish, pro-abortion, pro-redefining marriage, and pro-Sanctuary cities. They've both even donned formal wear in public - and I will not weigh in on who was more womanly in their full regalia.
I like Mitt and Huck very much. I believe the wrestling with substance and truth and issues that matter has actually been a beneficial process for the GOP. Hugh Hewitt is still someone I admire much - but happen to have a bit of difference on when it comes to the objectivity from which we both operate. (I'm not in line to become anyone's Press Secretary...)
Because my motives have been, and continue to be honest about both of these fine men, I do not feel it necessary to apologize for posts I've made regarding either of these candidates. And if either get the nomination - it will be my priority to pray for either of them as the leader of this nation.
I'm sure there will be more to say in the days to come - but after spending a few hours on the phone today with a sweet Mormon couple, and later some mightly motivated Evangelicals, and one very smart Catholic I felt it was time to again demonstrate my transparency in my own thoughts as they relate to the race ahead.
My blog, my show, and my mind are not bought and sold. No one has claim to my vote - and each of them will need to earn it...
And that ain't all bad!
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objective article about the two republicans. You are right when you say that Mitt has issues that have not been addressed until now. While I am undecided about who will get my vote, I am clear that Romney's Record and Religion will alienate women and minorities to the extent that his other qualifications will be dwarfed! Race and Sexist issues are still hot buttons - and it is not just within the african-american communities (remember Trent Lott) - although that is the group that will help Clinton get re-elected - okay and Hillary:) Your article has conviction and clarity - its unfortunate for smittened republicans that their candidate Romney lacks these qualities (minority conservative/moderate/independent voters(hispanics/blacks) did not just vote for Bush because of his stand on marriage - they found him to be a man of conviction and clarity. |
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Overall, Romney has less baggage than any other candidate. Huckabee also has many things that are not major issues right now that can be made into major issues.
About the only thing that can be used against Romney is religion.
However, Huck is just a vulnerable, especially after over positioning. If you look at some of the same polls that ask about resistance to a generic Mormon, the polls that go on and ask about an Evangelical also find much resistance. Almost as much as against Mormons.
The question is deceptive. It is the wrong question. It is about a generic Mormon that does not exist. It is a polling trick.
If you ask about individual candidates and measure how many will not support them. Romney does better than Rudy and McCain. Especially if you ask among Reps and leaners.
Huck was not a viable candidate then and I have not seen any recent polls with the right wording.
Kevin there will not be a repeat of 2004. It is a different set of issues. Romney's health care cuts into the Dems and Indies. Romney's competence cuts into them. Immigration cuts into them.
Huck is a flipper on immigration and a newbie on Health Care. All of the polls say he is incredibly weak on experience. He does not have the right experience.
He also has yet to win any votes. He is dropping like a rock in the futures. Someone knows something that we don't. |
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Kevin wrote; ----------- "Because my motives have been, and continue to be honest about both of these fine men, I do not feel it necessary to apologize for posts I've made regarding either of these candidates." -----------
Kevin, what exactly was your "honest motive" behind posting the photo of the cast from the HBO TV show about polygamists ("Big Love") which accompanied your post a couple days ago about Romney & Mormonism ?
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ROMENY has run out of gas. He has been the worst investment money could buy. He is also so defensive that he cracks under pressure. BOTH Romney's and Giuliani's flop flip past makes them a liability and not an asset for republicans 2008.
Mike Huckabee is presidential material and is alone able to defeat Hillary & Obama. I am now convinced that those wealthier donors to Romney's, Giuliani’s, and Thompson's campaign have wasted their money and if they continue, are wasting their hard earned money on candidates who do not have voter appeal or substance. As a member of the younger generation, I will tell you point blank, Romney, Giuliani, and Thompson DO NOT connect with us.
http://evolutionfacts.townhall.com/ |
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I too was a tentative supporter of Romney until the misleading campaign craziness started - how many times was Romney going to claim (and send out mailings) that he was the only candidate who was pro-life and against gay marriage? The disingenuous explanation (that technically Romney wasn't lying because though Huckabee was with romney in the polls, H didn't have enough money to be considered major) annoyed me even more. The point was to misrepresent Huckabee and he did it. It all depends on what the meaning of "is" is, it all depends on what the meaning of "major" is. no thank, i don't want to play that game again. |
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Kevin, That was a FANTASTIC article!!!! It cleared up alot of stuff for me and how the press can manipulate the facts. Thank you so much for being objective. I had heard before that Romney was worse on taxation than Huckabee, but you never hear that in the media. I feel your dilemma over the two. On immigration, I like Romney better than Huckabee. However, on issues like pro-life, I like Huckabee better. Romney only became pro-life two years ago(?) and I don't trust him to remain that way since it did not come about due to a relationship with Jesus. If it had come about that way, he would not be Mormon anymore. Now, that is not a slam--it is just a fact. It is so nice to be able to come to your blog and know that you are not operating from a political bias. Thank you for what you do and keep up the good work. |
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Kevin explained why he posted that pic. Go back and read. |
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I appreciate your comments Mr. McCullough. Your pain is apparent. This is an especially difficult time for those of us who have worked across sectarian lines for many years to promote family values and Judeo-Christian morals and ethics. I pray we can get past this petty squabbling and focus on nominating and then electing the best candidate. |
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How refreshing to read a thoughtful, intellectually honest article about the conservative dilemma in regards to our presidential candidate choices absent name-calling, condescension and caricature.
Thank you.
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Let me reiterate the thanks expressed by the posters above to you for your honesty. As I said in a recent post, when I want to know the truth, it has gotten to where I come here to your blog. I don't trust Drudge, or Sean Hannity (agenda for Guiliani is my perception) and I don't trust Michelle Malkin (agenda against Huckabee is my perception). As far as I am concerned, Kevin, you are the best. Keep on keeping us informed. |
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"and I don't trust him to remain that way since it did not come about due to a relationship with Jesus. If it had come about that way, he would not be Mormon anymore. Now, that is not a slam--it is just a fact."
I'll say it again -- wow! |
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"But hear this scorched-earthers - you are killing the appeal of your candidate. Your crying of wolf at religious bigotry where it does not exist, your willingness to buy Drudge and go nuclear, your willingness to slander and smear is not going unnoticed."
Let's see.... On Wednesday, we had the Big Love picture for Mormons were polygamous. On Thursday, we had the God Makers movie (played about as innocently as Huckabee) for Mormons can be gods. And now on Friday, we have Blacks and the Priesthood for Mormons are racist.
I see a pattern. Seems to me that Kevin is transparently trying to bait the Mormons further into his "blowback" theory that will give him justification to blow-off Romney.
Working a new anti-Mormon talking point each day good for ad views? What's next Kevin? Adam-God on Monday?
Why don't you really be honest in what you're doing? |
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for daring to come on Hugh's turf and be snarky to him and challenge him. Hugh is the GOP. When he speaks, people throng to the booth to vote his candidate's choice (yes, yes - MSM's results show santorum, steele, etc didnt win, but Hugh's internal results (from Karl Rove) show that these candidates won..).
Put down the kool-aid and submit to Lord Hugh's choice - Romney. |
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